Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate Milan will experience stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum near 30–32 °C. Low-level moisture and surface heating under prolonged August insolation favor this range, while minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight 42 %–36.5 % split between 30 °C and 31 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the Po Valley shows typical highs of 27–29 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly; traders are weighting the consensus peak temperature against small model spread in the final 48-hour window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のミラノの最高気温は?
30°C 44%
31°C 37%
28°C 13%
32°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
11%
30°C
44%
31°C
37%
32°C
10%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 44%
31°C 37%
28°C 13%
32°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
11%
30°C
44%
31°C
37%
32°C
10%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate Milan will experience stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum near 30–32 °C. Low-level moisture and surface heating under prolonged August insolation favor this range, while minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight 42 %–36.5 % split between 30 °C and 31 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the Po Valley shows typical highs of 27–29 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly; traders are weighting the consensus peak temperature against small model spread in the final 48-hour window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問