Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and others indicate mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Milan on August 30 under a stable high-pressure regime, supporting daytime maxima near 30 °C. This places the market-implied probability at 43.5 % for exactly 30 °C ahead of 35 % for 29 °C, reflecting tight clustering around the ensemble mean while allowing for small inter-model spreads in peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology for the Po Valley (typical highs 28–31 °C) reinforces the narrow range, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will clarify any adjustments from evolving ridge strength or minor cloud cover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のミラノの最高気温は？
8月30日のミラノの最高気温は？
30°C 44%
29°C 38%
28°C 16%
31°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
16%
29°C
38%
30°C
44%
31°C
13%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
11%
30°C 44%
29°C 38%
28°C 16%
31°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$2 Vol.
38%
30°C
$91 Vol.
44%
31°C
$5 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and others indicate mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Milan on August 30 under a stable high-pressure regime, supporting daytime maxima near 30 °C. This places the market-implied probability at 43.5 % for exactly 30 °C ahead of 35 % for 29 °C, reflecting tight clustering around the ensemble mean while allowing for small inter-model spreads in peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology for the Po Valley (typical highs 28–31 °C) reinforces the narrow range, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will clarify any adjustments from evolving ridge strength or minor cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$98終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and others indicate mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Milan on August 30 under a stable high-pressure regime, supporting daytime maxima near 30 °C. This places the market-implied probability at 43.5 % for exactly 30 °C ahead of 35 % for 29 °C, reflecting tight clustering around the ensemble mean while allowing for small inter-model spreads in peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology for the Po Valley (typical highs 28–31 °C) reinforces the narrow range, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will clarify any adjustments from evolving ridge strength or minor cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$98終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the Met Office and others indicate mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Milan on August 30 under a stable high-pressure regime, supporting daytime maxima near 30 °C. This places the market-implied probability at 43.5 % for exactly 30 °C ahead of 35 % for 29 °C, reflecting tight clustering around the ensemble mean while allowing for small inter-model spreads in peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology for the Po Valley (typical highs 28–31 °C) reinforces the narrow range, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will clarify any adjustments from evolving ridge strength or minor cloud cover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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