Trader consensus for Milan's lowest temperature on August 30 shows notable uncertainty, with market-implied odds spread across 16–24°C or higher as the top outcomes. Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models exhibit spread driven by variable high-pressure ridging over the Alps and potential advection of cooler air from the northern Mediterranean or Po Valley. Primary scientific factors differentiating the probabilities include the precise strength and timing of any nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies versus increased cloud cover, urban heat island moderation in central Milan, and local wind patterns affecting boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological services over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のミラノの最低気温は？
8月30日のミラノの最低気温は？
24°C or higher 60%
21°C 49%
15°C 47%
20°C 47%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
14°C or below
6%
15°C
47%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
28%
19°C
24%
20°C
47%
21°C
49%
22°C
1%
23°C
43%
24°C or higher
60%
24°C or higher 60%
21°C 49%
15°C 47%
20°C 47%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$0 Vol.
47%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
47%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$27 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
43%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Milan's lowest temperature on August 30 shows notable uncertainty, with market-implied odds spread across 16–24°C or higher as the top outcomes. Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models exhibit spread driven by variable high-pressure ridging over the Alps and potential advection of cooler air from the northern Mediterranean or Po Valley. Primary scientific factors differentiating the probabilities include the precise strength and timing of any nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies versus increased cloud cover, urban heat island moderation in central Milan, and local wind patterns affecting boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological services over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$37終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Milan's lowest temperature on August 30 shows notable uncertainty, with market-implied odds spread across 16–24°C or higher as the top outcomes. Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models exhibit spread driven by variable high-pressure ridging over the Alps and potential advection of cooler air from the northern Mediterranean or Po Valley. Primary scientific factors differentiating the probabilities include the precise strength and timing of any nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies versus increased cloud cover, urban heat island moderation in central Milan, and local wind patterns affecting boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological services over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$37終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus for Milan's lowest temperature on August 30 shows notable uncertainty, with market-implied odds spread across 16–24°C or higher as the top outcomes. Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models exhibit spread driven by variable high-pressure ridging over the Alps and potential advection of cooler air from the northern Mediterranean or Po Valley. Primary scientific factors differentiating the probabilities include the precise strength and timing of any nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies versus increased cloud cover, urban heat island moderation in central Milan, and local wind patterns affecting boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and observational data from Italian meteorological services over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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