Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate the overnight minimum in Milan on August 29 will likely settle between 18–21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds that moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 16–18°C and urban heat retention further anchor expectations around these levels, with limited potential for deeper cooling under clear conditions or sharper drops if winds remain calm. Historical August climatology supports typical lows near 19°C, while model spread and timing of any residual cloud cover explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 16–19°C outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のミラノの最低気温は？
8月29日のミラノの最低気温は？
14°C 49%
22°C 49%
20°C 46%
21°C 45%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
13°C or below
5%
14°C
49%
15°C
22%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
28%
19°C
27%
20°C
46%
21°C
45%
22°C
49%
23°C or higher
42%
14°C 49%
22°C 49%
20°C 46%
21°C 45%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
13°C or below
$125 Vol.
5%
14°C
$5 Vol.
49%
15°C
$16 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$10 Vol.
46%
21°C
$5 Vol.
45%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate the overnight minimum in Milan on August 29 will likely settle between 18–21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds that moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 16–18°C and urban heat retention further anchor expectations around these levels, with limited potential for deeper cooling under clear conditions or sharper drops if winds remain calm. Historical August climatology supports typical lows near 19°C, while model spread and timing of any residual cloud cover explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 16–19°C outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$171終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate the overnight minimum in Milan on August 29 will likely settle between 18–21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds that moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 16–18°C and urban heat retention further anchor expectations around these levels, with limited potential for deeper cooling under clear conditions or sharper drops if winds remain calm. Historical August climatology supports typical lows near 19°C, while model spread and timing of any residual cloud cover explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 16–19°C outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$171終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate the overnight minimum in Milan on August 29 will likely settle between 18–21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds that moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 16–18°C and urban heat retention further anchor expectations around these levels, with limited potential for deeper cooling under clear conditions or sharper drops if winds remain calm. Historical August climatology supports typical lows near 19°C, while model spread and timing of any residual cloud cover explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 16–19°C outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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