Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover with periods of light rain or showers on August 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting a peak near 31–32 °C. Southeast winds and high humidity typical of late-summer monsoon conditions further suppress maximum temperatures, consistent with recent days when highs reached 31–33 °C amid similar moisture. Historical August averages for the city hover around 31 °C, and no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky development is indicated in latest runs. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 31–32 °C reflects this model consensus, with resolution depending on official station readings at the primary Shanghai observatory. Updated guidance from the next model cycle could refine afternoon cloud trends ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の上海の最高気温は?
31°C 49%
32°C 47%
30°C 4%
33°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
49%
32°C
47%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
32°C 47%
30°C 4%
33°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
49%
32°C
47%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover with periods of light rain or showers on August 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting a peak near 31–32 °C. Southeast winds and high humidity typical of late-summer monsoon conditions further suppress maximum temperatures, consistent with recent days when highs reached 31–33 °C amid similar moisture. Historical August averages for the city hover around 31 °C, and no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky development is indicated in latest runs. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 31–32 °C reflects this model consensus, with resolution depending on official station readings at the primary Shanghai observatory. Updated guidance from the next model cycle could refine afternoon cloud trends ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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