Current forecasts from ensemble models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a modest daily maximum of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C and driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, while any scattered showers or drizzle add evaporative cooling that caps peaks. Minor model differences in cloud timing, wind gusts of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation probability around 15–40% create the narrow uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C, with higher values requiring clearer skies and stronger insolation than currently projected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のパリの最高気温は？
8月31日のパリの最高気温は？
24°C 44%
23°C 42%
25°C 10%
22°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
42%
24°C
44%
25°C
10%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
23°C 42%
25°C 10%
22°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
19°C or below
$75 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$109 Vol.
1%
21°C
$58 Vol.
2%
22°C
$223 Vol.
5%
23°C
$254 Vol.
42%
24°C
$462 Vol.
44%
25°C
$115 Vol.
10%
26°C
$64 Vol.
3%
27°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ensemble models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a modest daily maximum of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C and driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, while any scattered showers or drizzle add evaporative cooling that caps peaks. Minor model differences in cloud timing, wind gusts of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation probability around 15–40% create the narrow uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C, with higher values requiring clearer skies and stronger insolation than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$1,535終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ensemble models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a modest daily maximum of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C and driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, while any scattered showers or drizzle add evaporative cooling that caps peaks. Minor model differences in cloud timing, wind gusts of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation probability around 15–40% create the narrow uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C, with higher values requiring clearer skies and stronger insolation than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,535終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent forecasts from ensemble models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a modest daily maximum of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C and driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, while any scattered showers or drizzle add evaporative cooling that caps peaks. Minor model differences in cloud timing, wind gusts of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation probability around 15–40% create the narrow uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C, with higher values requiring clearer skies and stronger insolation than currently projected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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