Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Paris will experience mild overnight conditions on August 30–31, with minimum temperatures stabilizing around 16–17°C under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These patterns limit radiative cooling compared to clearer skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C and 16°C as the day's low. Historical August averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to warmer-than-normal values through the period, with limited disagreement among runs and no incoming cold air mass expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this near-term stability ahead of any final forecast adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のパリの最低気温は？
8月31日のパリの最低気温は？
17°C 51%
16℃ 41%
18°C 15%
13℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
12°C以下
7%
13℃
12%
14℃
12%
15°C
12%
16℃
41%
17°C
51%
18°C
15%
19°C
12%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C以上
12%
17°C 51%
16℃ 41%
18°C 15%
13℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
12°C以下
$0 Vol.
7%
13℃
$0 Vol.
12%
14℃
$0 Vol.
12%
15°C
$0 Vol.
12%
16℃
$18 Vol.
41%
17°C
$6 Vol.
51%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
12%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C以上
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Paris will experience mild overnight conditions on August 30–31, with minimum temperatures stabilizing around 16–17°C under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These patterns limit radiative cooling compared to clearer skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C and 16°C as the day's low. Historical August averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to warmer-than-normal values through the period, with limited disagreement among runs and no incoming cold air mass expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this near-term stability ahead of any final forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$24終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Paris will experience mild overnight conditions on August 30–31, with minimum temperatures stabilizing around 16–17°C under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These patterns limit radiative cooling compared to clearer skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C and 16°C as the day's low. Historical August averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to warmer-than-normal values through the period, with limited disagreement among runs and no incoming cold air mass expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this near-term stability ahead of any final forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$24終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Paris will experience mild overnight conditions on August 30–31, with minimum temperatures stabilizing around 16–17°C under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. These patterns limit radiative cooling compared to clearer skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C and 16°C as the day's low. Historical August averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to warmer-than-normal values through the period, with limited disagreement among runs and no incoming cold air mass expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this near-term stability ahead of any final forecast adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問