Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17 °C for Paris on 29 August, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with the long-term climatological average low of about 13.5 °C and reflect a milder oceanic air mass arriving after earlier warmth. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with limited spread in ensemble runs and no major shifts in the latest 12z–00z updates. Resolution depends on the official overnight minimum recorded at Paris–Montsouris; any late clearing could allow a dip toward 15 °C, while sustained cloud and wind would favor the 17–18 °C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のパリの最低気温は?
16℃ 48%
18℃ 19%
17°C 18%
15°C 16%
11°C以下
<1%
12℃
6%
13℃
4%
14℃
5%
15°C
16%
16℃
48%
17°C
18%
18℃
19%
19℃
5%
20°C
6%
21°C以上
1%
16℃ 48%
18℃ 19%
17°C 18%
15°C 16%
11°C以下
<1%
12℃
6%
13℃
4%
14℃
5%
15°C
16%
16℃
48%
17°C
18%
18℃
19%
19℃
5%
20°C
6%
21°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17 °C for Paris on 29 August, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with the long-term climatological average low of about 13.5 °C and reflect a milder oceanic air mass arriving after earlier warmth. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with limited spread in ensemble runs and no major shifts in the latest 12z–00z updates. Resolution depends on the official overnight minimum recorded at Paris–Montsouris; any late clearing could allow a dip toward 15 °C, while sustained cloud and wind would favor the 17–18 °C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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