Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26 under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when average highs reach approximately 32°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and humid monsoon conditions that limit extreme diurnal swings. Recent model consensus has stabilized around these values, with ensemble spreads suggesting low probability of deviation beyond 31–34°C given stable steering patterns and sea surface temperatures supporting moderate heat retention. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven outlook ahead of final observational confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の上海の最高気温は?
32°C 52%
31°C 22%
33°C 20%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C
52%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 22%
33°C 20%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C
52%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26 under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when average highs reach approximately 32°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and humid monsoon conditions that limit extreme diurnal swings. Recent model consensus has stabilized around these values, with ensemble spreads suggesting low probability of deviation beyond 31–34°C given stable steering patterns and sea surface temperatures supporting moderate heat retention. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven outlook ahead of final observational confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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