Strong forecast consensus from meteorological agencies and models drives the 93% market-implied probability for a 27°C overnight low in Shanghai on August 25. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including high humidity, light southerly winds, and minimal frontal activity, typically produce minimum temperatures in the 26–28°C range, matching climatological baselines for the period. Recent observational trends and ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration show no significant deviations, with daytime highs near 32°C allowing limited nocturnal cooling. Realistic challenges include an unforecasted rain event enhancing evaporative cooling or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current model agreement keeps such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の上海の最低気温は？
8月25日の上海の最低気温は？
27°C 98%
26°C 8%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 8%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
22°C or below
$255 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$929 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,981 Vol.
8%
27°C
$2,415 Vol.
94%
28°C
$1,893 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$723 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$164 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from meteorological agencies and models drives the 93% market-implied probability for a 27°C overnight low in Shanghai on August 25. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including high humidity, light southerly winds, and minimal frontal activity, typically produce minimum temperatures in the 26–28°C range, matching climatological baselines for the period. Recent observational trends and ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration show no significant deviations, with daytime highs near 32°C allowing limited nocturnal cooling. Realistic challenges include an unforecasted rain event enhancing evaporative cooling or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current model agreement keeps such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$9,158終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from meteorological agencies and models drives the 93% market-implied probability for a 27°C overnight low in Shanghai on August 25. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including high humidity, light southerly winds, and minimal frontal activity, typically produce minimum temperatures in the 26–28°C range, matching climatological baselines for the period. Recent observational trends and ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration show no significant deviations, with daytime highs near 32°C allowing limited nocturnal cooling. Realistic challenges include an unforecasted rain event enhancing evaporative cooling or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current model agreement keeps such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,158終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETStrong forecast consensus from meteorological agencies and models drives the 93% market-implied probability for a 27°C overnight low in Shanghai on August 25. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including high humidity, light southerly winds, and minimal frontal activity, typically produce minimum temperatures in the 26–28°C range, matching climatological baselines for the period. Recent observational trends and ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration show no significant deviations, with daytime highs near 32°C allowing limited nocturnal cooling. Realistic challenges include an unforecasted rain event enhancing evaporative cooling or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current model agreement keeps such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問