**Trader sentiment reflects tight consensus around a minimum of 27–28 °C for Guangzhou on August 29, 2026, as live observations and model guidance show early-morning readings holding near 26–27 °C before any further overnight decline.** High humidity (often 80–95 %), light variable winds, and widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms have suppressed clear-sky radiative cooling typical of drier nights. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models (GFS, ECMWF) project a daily minimum in the upper 20s °C range, consistent with August climatology for the Pearl River Delta. With the calendar day still unfolding, traders weigh the precise timing of any late-evening drop against the already-recorded low, keeping 27 °C and 28 °C nearly even while sharply discounting outcomes below 26 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の広州の最低気温は?
27°C 49%
26°C 27%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
26°C 27%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment reflects tight consensus around a minimum of 27–28 °C for Guangzhou on August 29, 2026, as live observations and model guidance show early-morning readings holding near 26–27 °C before any further overnight decline.** High humidity (often 80–95 %), light variable winds, and widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms have suppressed clear-sky radiative cooling typical of drier nights. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models (GFS, ECMWF) project a daily minimum in the upper 20s °C range, consistent with August climatology for the Pearl River Delta. With the calendar day still unfolding, traders weigh the precise timing of any late-evening drop against the already-recorded low, keeping 27 °C and 28 °C nearly even while sharply discounting outcomes below 26 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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