Recent monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and elevated humidity levels reported by the India Meteorological Department, is capping daytime heating and creating tight odds between a 32°C and 33°C high on August 29. Official forecasts show model divergence on the timing and extent of convective rainfall, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while maintaining minimums near 27–28°C. Historical late-August baselines for Lucknow average 31–34°C under similar monsoon regimes, and the current 2–4°C rise projected in maximums over the next few days aligns with trader clustering around these two outcomes. Updated IMD guidance and satellite observations of cloud bands will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のラクナウの最高気温は?
32°C 33%
33°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
33%
33°C
29%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 33%
33°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
33%
33°C
29%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and elevated humidity levels reported by the India Meteorological Department, is capping daytime heating and creating tight odds between a 32°C and 33°C high on August 29. Official forecasts show model divergence on the timing and extent of convective rainfall, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while maintaining minimums near 27–28°C. Historical late-August baselines for Lucknow average 31–34°C under similar monsoon regimes, and the current 2–4°C rise projected in maximums over the next few days aligns with trader clustering around these two outcomes. Updated IMD guidance and satellite observations of cloud bands will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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