Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line and scattered thundershowers, has kept maximum temperatures below normal, with Lucknow recording 30.4°C on August 26. Official IMD guidance for August 28 projects a maximum of 34°C under generally cloudy skies turning partly cloudy with light rain possible, while other models range from 31–33°C amid 65–90% rain chances. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key variables differentiating the closely matched 31–33°C outcomes, as heavier or earlier rain suppresses insolation and surface heating more effectively than lighter, later showers. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のラクナウの最高気温は?
32°C 32%
33°C 32%
31°C 20%
34°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
32%
34°C
14%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 32%
33°C 32%
31°C 20%
34°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
32%
34°C
14%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including a trough line and scattered thundershowers, has kept maximum temperatures below normal, with Lucknow recording 30.4°C on August 26. Official IMD guidance for August 28 projects a maximum of 34°C under generally cloudy skies turning partly cloudy with light rain possible, while other models range from 31–33°C amid 65–90% rain chances. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key variables differentiating the closely matched 31–33°C outcomes, as heavier or earlier rain suppresses insolation and surface heating more effectively than lighter, later showers. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問