Ongoing monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with an active trough line driving overcast skies, scattered rain, and thundershowers across Lucknow on August 26, is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment around 30–32°C. High relative humidity (80–94%) and frequent cloud cover limit solar insolation and surface heating, while light easterly winds and episodic showers provide additional cooling, consistent with recent below-normal maxima near 30°C. Official forecasts from IMD and other models converge on a peak near 31°C but diverge on rainfall timing and intensity, creating tight spreads between the 30°C and 32°C outcomes. The closely matched odds reflect genuine uncertainty in convective development and exact diurnal heating under these dynamic conditions, with resolution hinging on the day’s observed maximum from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のラクナウの最高気温は?
31°C 40%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
29°C 11.4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
32%
31°C
40%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
29°C 11.4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
32%
31°C
40%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with an active trough line driving overcast skies, scattered rain, and thundershowers across Lucknow on August 26, is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment around 30–32°C. High relative humidity (80–94%) and frequent cloud cover limit solar insolation and surface heating, while light easterly winds and episodic showers provide additional cooling, consistent with recent below-normal maxima near 30°C. Official forecasts from IMD and other models converge on a peak near 31°C but diverge on rainfall timing and intensity, creating tight spreads between the 30°C and 32°C outcomes. The closely matched odds reflect genuine uncertainty in convective development and exact diurnal heating under these dynamic conditions, with resolution hinging on the day’s observed maximum from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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