Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure system over central India and a trough line across Uttar Pradesh, are driving cloud cover, humidity near 90%, and scattered to heavy thundershowers over Lucknow on August 27, suppressing solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures near the IMD forecast of 32°C. Recent observations show daytime highs 2–3°C below normal amid ongoing rainfall, with market-implied odds favoring 31–32°C reflecting consensus on persistent overcast skies. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—heavy all-day rain favors 30°C or lower, while afternoon breaks could allow 33°C—plus model spread in steering patterns and monsoon strength. High uncertainty arises from variable convective activity typical during active monsoon phases, with traders weighting official agency guidance against short-term forecast revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のラクナウの最高気温は?
31°C 35%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
35%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
35%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure system over central India and a trough line across Uttar Pradesh, are driving cloud cover, humidity near 90%, and scattered to heavy thundershowers over Lucknow on August 27, suppressing solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures near the IMD forecast of 32°C. Recent observations show daytime highs 2–3°C below normal amid ongoing rainfall, with market-implied odds favoring 31–32°C reflecting consensus on persistent overcast skies. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—heavy all-day rain favors 30°C or lower, while afternoon breaks could allow 33°C—plus model spread in steering patterns and monsoon strength. High uncertainty arises from variable convective activity typical during active monsoon phases, with traders weighting official agency guidance against short-term forecast revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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