Recent monsoon trough positioning over eastern Uttar Pradesh, combined with widespread cloud cover and thundershower activity, is the main factor anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow’s August 27 overnight low near 26–27 °C. Persistent humidity above 80 % and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit nighttime temperature drops, consistent with recent observed minima of 25–27 °C and official IMD forecasts of 26–27 °C. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering winds and moisture, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging that any break in cloudiness or heavier localized rain could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C either way ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のラクナウの最低気温は?
26°C 52%
27°C 36%
28°C 26%
24°C 25%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
8%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
37%
27°C
36%
28°C
26%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 52%
27°C 36%
28°C 26%
24°C 25%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
8%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
37%
27°C
36%
28°C
26%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon trough positioning over eastern Uttar Pradesh, combined with widespread cloud cover and thundershower activity, is the main factor anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow’s August 27 overnight low near 26–27 °C. Persistent humidity above 80 % and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit nighttime temperature drops, consistent with recent observed minima of 25–27 °C and official IMD forecasts of 26–27 °C. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering winds and moisture, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging that any break in cloudiness or heavier localized rain could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C either way ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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