Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in Buenos Aires on August 27 near 11–14°C, driven by a southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight into morning. This setup follows several days of above-average warmth, with August climatological minima around 7°C providing context for the milder trajectory. Spread among high-resolution models on exact timing of cloud cover, wind speeds, and precipitation efficiency creates genuine uncertainty around the precise minimum, keeping market-implied probabilities closely clustered across the 8–14°C range. Updated SMN guidance and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は？
8月27日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は？
12°C 27%
8℃ 26%
9°C 26%
10℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
6℃以下
-
7℃
2%
8℃
26%
9°C
26%
10℃
26%
11℃
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
12%
16℃以上
20%
12°C 27%
8℃ 26%
9°C 26%
10℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
6℃以下
$28 Vol.
-
7℃
$11 Vol.
2%
8℃
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10℃
$0 Vol.
26%
11℃
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
12%
16℃以上
$22 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in Buenos Aires on August 27 near 11–14°C, driven by a southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight into morning. This setup follows several days of above-average warmth, with August climatological minima around 7°C providing context for the milder trajectory. Spread among high-resolution models on exact timing of cloud cover, wind speeds, and precipitation efficiency creates genuine uncertainty around the precise minimum, keeping market-implied probabilities closely clustered across the 8–14°C range. Updated SMN guidance and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
音量
$61終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in Buenos Aires on August 27 near 11–14°C, driven by a southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight into morning. This setup follows several days of above-average warmth, with August climatological minima around 7°C providing context for the milder trajectory. Spread among high-resolution models on exact timing of cloud cover, wind speeds, and precipitation efficiency creates genuine uncertainty around the precise minimum, keeping market-implied probabilities closely clustered across the 8–14°C range. Updated SMN guidance and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$61終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETCurrent forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in Buenos Aires on August 27 near 11–14°C, driven by a southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight into morning. This setup follows several days of above-average warmth, with August climatological minima around 7°C providing context for the milder trajectory. Spread among high-resolution models on exact timing of cloud cover, wind speeds, and precipitation efficiency creates genuine uncertainty around the precise minimum, keeping market-implied probabilities closely clustered across the 8–14°C range. Updated SMN guidance and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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