**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure area over south Uttar Pradesh and an east-west monsoon trough, have sustained cloud cover, light to moderate rainfall, and high humidity (80–95%) across Lucknow on August 26, 2026.** These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated. Official IMD observations at Lucknow Airport recorded a minimum of 27.0°C (1.6°C above normal), consistent with statewide night temperatures showing little change and remaining near normal. Trader consensus on 26–27°C (combined ~100% probability) reflects this persistent moisture and overcast skies, which trap heat and suppress temperature drops. Differentiation between the two hinges on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: heavier or more continuous precipitation favors 27°C by enhancing the warming effect, while any brief clearing could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C. Forecasts from IMD and other models project continued rain/thundershowers, supporting the narrow range around these values rather than lower outcomes seen in drier conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のラクナウの最低気温は?
27°C 99.5%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
$3,508 Vol.
$3,508 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 99.5%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
$3,508 Vol.
$3,508 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure area over south Uttar Pradesh and an east-west monsoon trough, have sustained cloud cover, light to moderate rainfall, and high humidity (80–95%) across Lucknow on August 26, 2026.** These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated. Official IMD observations at Lucknow Airport recorded a minimum of 27.0°C (1.6°C above normal), consistent with statewide night temperatures showing little change and remaining near normal. Trader consensus on 26–27°C (combined ~100% probability) reflects this persistent moisture and overcast skies, which trap heat and suppress temperature drops. Differentiation between the two hinges on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: heavier or more continuous precipitation favors 27°C by enhancing the warming effect, while any brief clearing could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C. Forecasts from IMD and other models project continued rain/thundershowers, supporting the narrow range around these values rather than lower outcomes seen in drier conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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