Persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow are limiting overnight radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range, with official IMD outlooks and global model consensus pointing to minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 30. High humidity near 85–95% and light winds further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 26°C while capping upside potential above 28°C. Recent station data show overnight lows of 26–27°C amid similar conditions, and traders appear to weigh minor forecast divergences in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing as the key variables separating the closely matched 26–28°C outcomes. Updated NWP runs and IMD briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のラクナウの最低気温は?
27°C 50%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
26°C 30%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
4%
27°C 50%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
26°C 30%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers over Lucknow are limiting overnight radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range, with official IMD outlooks and global model consensus pointing to minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 30. High humidity near 85–95% and light winds further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 26°C while capping upside potential above 28°C. Recent station data show overnight lows of 26–27°C amid similar conditions, and traders appear to weigh minor forecast divergences in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing as the key variables separating the closely matched 26–28°C outcomes. Updated NWP runs and IMD briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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