Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, with frequent thundershowers and extensive cloud cover, has kept daily maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 31–34°C through late August, suppressing radiative heating. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate continued scattered rain and overcast conditions on August 30, limiting afternoon peaks to the 30–32°C range while maintaining high humidity. This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration of implied probability on 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and the next IMD bulletin will provide the key data points for refining expectations ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のラクナウの最高気温は？
8月30日のラクナウの最高気温は？
31°C 36%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C or higher 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
26%
33°C or higher
14%
31°C 36%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C or higher 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
36%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C or higher
$2 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, with frequent thundershowers and extensive cloud cover, has kept daily maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 31–34°C through late August, suppressing radiative heating. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate continued scattered rain and overcast conditions on August 30, limiting afternoon peaks to the 30–32°C range while maintaining high humidity. This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration of implied probability on 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and the next IMD bulletin will provide the key data points for refining expectations ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$2終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, with frequent thundershowers and extensive cloud cover, has kept daily maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 31–34°C through late August, suppressing radiative heating. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate continued scattered rain and overcast conditions on August 30, limiting afternoon peaks to the 30–32°C range while maintaining high humidity. This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration of implied probability on 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and the next IMD bulletin will provide the key data points for refining expectations ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, with frequent thundershowers and extensive cloud cover, has kept daily maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 31–34°C through late August, suppressing radiative heating. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate continued scattered rain and overcast conditions on August 30, limiting afternoon peaks to the 30–32°C range while maintaining high humidity. This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration of implied probability on 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and the next IMD bulletin will provide the key data points for refining expectations ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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