Recent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum near 10–11°C in Wellington on August 30, driven by clear skies and persistent northwesterly winds that promote moderate radiative cooling while limiting extreme drops through mixing. These conditions align with late-winter climatology for the region, where typical minima range 8–11°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 9–11°C outcomes with little support for sub-8°C or double-digit highs overnight. Updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local MetService briefings, will further refine wind speeds and cloud cover that directly influence the precise low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
8月30日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
7°C 39%
11°C 31%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
6°C or below
5%
7°C
39%
8°C
50%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
31%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C
3%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
3%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
7°C 39%
11°C 31%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
5%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$10 Vol.
50%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
31%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$5 Vol.
8%
14°C
$5 Vol.
3%
15°C
$5 Vol.
3%
16°C or higher
$145 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum near 10–11°C in Wellington on August 30, driven by clear skies and persistent northwesterly winds that promote moderate radiative cooling while limiting extreme drops through mixing. These conditions align with late-winter climatology for the region, where typical minima range 8–11°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 9–11°C outcomes with little support for sub-8°C or double-digit highs overnight. Updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local MetService briefings, will further refine wind speeds and cloud cover that directly influence the precise low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$175終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum near 10–11°C in Wellington on August 30, driven by clear skies and persistent northwesterly winds that promote moderate radiative cooling while limiting extreme drops through mixing. These conditions align with late-winter climatology for the region, where typical minima range 8–11°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 9–11°C outcomes with little support for sub-8°C or double-digit highs overnight. Updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local MetService briefings, will further refine wind speeds and cloud cover that directly influence the precise low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$175終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum near 10–11°C in Wellington on August 30, driven by clear skies and persistent northwesterly winds that promote moderate radiative cooling while limiting extreme drops through mixing. These conditions align with late-winter climatology for the region, where typical minima range 8–11°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 9–11°C outcomes with little support for sub-8°C or double-digit highs overnight. Updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local MetService briefings, will further refine wind speeds and cloud cover that directly influence the precise low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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