Persistent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) influence across Luzon, with widespread cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rains, and southwesterly winds, is moderating diurnal temperature swings in Metro Manila and anchoring the daily minimum near 25–26°C. Official PAGASA observations and multiple model runs show overnight lows holding at or slightly above typical late-August baselines of 25.5°C due to high humidity (90%+), reduced radiational cooling under overcast skies, and urban heat retention. Traders price 24–25°C as the tightest cluster because forecast timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief clearing windows introduce small uncertainty around the precise minimum recorded at the Science Garden station, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the established monsoon regime.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のマニラの最低気温は？
8月28日のマニラの最低気温は？
25°C 49%
24°C 47%
22°C 3%
23°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
44%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 47%
22°C 3%
23°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
21°C or below
$37 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$35 Vol.
3%
23°C
$72 Vol.
2%
24°C
$6 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$1 Vol.
44%
27°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$154 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) influence across Luzon, with widespread cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rains, and southwesterly winds, is moderating diurnal temperature swings in Metro Manila and anchoring the daily minimum near 25–26°C. Official PAGASA observations and multiple model runs show overnight lows holding at or slightly above typical late-August baselines of 25.5°C due to high humidity (90%+), reduced radiational cooling under overcast skies, and urban heat retention. Traders price 24–25°C as the tightest cluster because forecast timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief clearing windows introduce small uncertainty around the precise minimum recorded at the Science Garden station, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the established monsoon regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$1,310終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) influence across Luzon, with widespread cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rains, and southwesterly winds, is moderating diurnal temperature swings in Metro Manila and anchoring the daily minimum near 25–26°C. Official PAGASA observations and multiple model runs show overnight lows holding at or slightly above typical late-August baselines of 25.5°C due to high humidity (90%+), reduced radiational cooling under overcast skies, and urban heat retention. Traders price 24–25°C as the tightest cluster because forecast timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief clearing windows introduce small uncertainty around the precise minimum recorded at the Science Garden station, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the established monsoon regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,310終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETPersistent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) influence across Luzon, with widespread cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rains, and southwesterly winds, is moderating diurnal temperature swings in Metro Manila and anchoring the daily minimum near 25–26°C. Official PAGASA observations and multiple model runs show overnight lows holding at or slightly above typical late-August baselines of 25.5°C due to high humidity (90%+), reduced radiational cooling under overcast skies, and urban heat retention. Traders price 24–25°C as the tightest cluster because forecast timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief clearing windows introduce small uncertainty around the precise minimum recorded at the Science Garden station, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the established monsoon regime.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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