Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, is sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds over Metro Manila through August 30. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with clearer-sky baselines. PAGASA outlooks and consensus model guidance indicate overnight lows centered in the 25–28 °C range, with the precise daily minimum hinging on the timing and intensity of rain showers that can further suppress temperature drops. Historical August climatology for Manila shows typical minima near 25–26 °C under similar monsoon regimes, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27 °C while leaving room for modest shifts if convective activity or wind patterns evolve in the final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のマニラの最低気温は？
8月30日のマニラの最低気温は？
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
21°C or below
16%
22°C
14%
23°C
39%
24°C
49%
25°C
50%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
49%
29°C
48%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
21°C or below
$130 Vol.
16%
22°C
$0 Vol.
14%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
48%
30°C
$0 Vol.
20%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, is sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds over Metro Manila through August 30. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with clearer-sky baselines. PAGASA outlooks and consensus model guidance indicate overnight lows centered in the 25–28 °C range, with the precise daily minimum hinging on the timing and intensity of rain showers that can further suppress temperature drops. Historical August climatology for Manila shows typical minima near 25–26 °C under similar monsoon regimes, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27 °C while leaving room for modest shifts if convective activity or wind patterns evolve in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$130終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, is sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds over Metro Manila through August 30. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with clearer-sky baselines. PAGASA outlooks and consensus model guidance indicate overnight lows centered in the 25–28 °C range, with the precise daily minimum hinging on the timing and intensity of rain showers that can further suppress temperature drops. Historical August climatology for Manila shows typical minima near 25–26 °C under similar monsoon regimes, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27 °C while leaving room for modest shifts if convective activity or wind patterns evolve in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$130終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, is sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds over Metro Manila through August 30. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared with clearer-sky baselines. PAGASA outlooks and consensus model guidance indicate overnight lows centered in the 25–28 °C range, with the precise daily minimum hinging on the timing and intensity of rain showers that can further suppress temperature drops. Historical August climatology for Manila shows typical minima near 25–26 °C under similar monsoon regimes, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27 °C while leaving room for modest shifts if convective activity or wind patterns evolve in the final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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