**Latest ensemble forecasts from global models converge on a minimum temperature of 27–28°C overnight into August 29 under partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and light southeasterly winds under 15 km/h.** These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling typical in late-summer Shanghai, where the subtropical ridge and residual monsoon moisture maintain elevated dew points around 25–26°C. Recent model runs show little spread, with most solutions clustering in the upper 20s and only modest probability for brief dips to 26°C if clearer skies develop. This tight consensus, aligned with observed recent nights of 27–28°C, underpins the dominant market-implied odds for 27°C and 28°C while keeping lower outliers at minimal probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の上海の最低気温は？
8月29日の上海の最低気温は？
27°C 50%
28°C 40%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
50%
28°C
40%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 40%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
22°C or below
$123 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
3%
25°C
$75 Vol.
5%
26°C
$105 Vol.
8%
27°C
$304 Vol.
50%
28°C
$121 Vol.
40%
29°C
$67 Vol.
5%
30°C
$23 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$39 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from global models converge on a minimum temperature of 27–28°C overnight into August 29 under partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and light southeasterly winds under 15 km/h.** These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling typical in late-summer Shanghai, where the subtropical ridge and residual monsoon moisture maintain elevated dew points around 25–26°C. Recent model runs show little spread, with most solutions clustering in the upper 20s and only modest probability for brief dips to 26°C if clearer skies develop. This tight consensus, aligned with observed recent nights of 27–28°C, underpins the dominant market-implied odds for 27°C and 28°C while keeping lower outliers at minimal probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$891終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from global models converge on a minimum temperature of 27–28°C overnight into August 29 under partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and light southeasterly winds under 15 km/h.** These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling typical in late-summer Shanghai, where the subtropical ridge and residual monsoon moisture maintain elevated dew points around 25–26°C. Recent model runs show little spread, with most solutions clustering in the upper 20s and only modest probability for brief dips to 26°C if clearer skies develop. This tight consensus, aligned with observed recent nights of 27–28°C, underpins the dominant market-implied odds for 27°C and 28°C while keeping lower outliers at minimal probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$891終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Latest ensemble forecasts from global models converge on a minimum temperature of 27–28°C overnight into August 29 under partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and light southeasterly winds under 15 km/h.** These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling typical in late-summer Shanghai, where the subtropical ridge and residual monsoon moisture maintain elevated dew points around 25–26°C. Recent model runs show little spread, with most solutions clustering in the upper 20s and only modest probability for brief dips to 26°C if clearer skies develop. This tight consensus, aligned with observed recent nights of 27–28°C, underpins the dominant market-implied odds for 27°C and 28°C while keeping lower outliers at minimal probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問