Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to persistent warm, humid air masses with light winds and limited cloud cover overnight into August 25, keeping Miami's daily minimum temperature centered near 80–81°F. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 77–79°F but recent high-pressure ridging has suppressed typical radiational cooling. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with dew points remaining above 75°F and no frontal passage or tropical moisture surge expected to alter the trajectory before dawn. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probability to the 80–81°F bin, with the next most likely range (78–79°F) reflecting only modest downside risk if boundary-layer mixing increases slightly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のマイアミの最低気温は？
8月25日のマイアミの最低気温は？
80〜81°F 48%
78〜79°F 24%
82〜83°F 16%
84〜85°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
69°F以下
2%
70〜71°F
2%
72〜73°F
7%
74～75°F
6%
76〜77°F
10%
78〜79°F
24%
80〜81°F
48%
82〜83°F
16%
84〜85°F
11%
86～87°F
7%
88°F以上
2%
80〜81°F 48%
78〜79°F 24%
82〜83°F 16%
84〜85°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
69°F以下
$27 Vol.
2%
70〜71°F
$5 Vol.
2%
72〜73°F
$10 Vol.
7%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76〜77°F
$81 Vol.
10%
78〜79°F
$0 Vol.
24%
80〜81°F
$23 Vol.
48%
82〜83°F
$52 Vol.
16%
84〜85°F
$74 Vol.
11%
86～87°F
$10 Vol.
7%
88°F以上
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to persistent warm, humid air masses with light winds and limited cloud cover overnight into August 25, keeping Miami's daily minimum temperature centered near 80–81°F. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 77–79°F but recent high-pressure ridging has suppressed typical radiational cooling. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with dew points remaining above 75°F and no frontal passage or tropical moisture surge expected to alter the trajectory before dawn. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probability to the 80–81°F bin, with the next most likely range (78–79°F) reflecting only modest downside risk if boundary-layer mixing increases slightly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
音量
$292終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to persistent warm, humid air masses with light winds and limited cloud cover overnight into August 25, keeping Miami's daily minimum temperature centered near 80–81°F. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 77–79°F but recent high-pressure ridging has suppressed typical radiational cooling. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with dew points remaining above 75°F and no frontal passage or tropical moisture surge expected to alter the trajectory before dawn. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probability to the 80–81°F bin, with the next most likely range (78–79°F) reflecting only modest downside risk if boundary-layer mixing increases slightly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$292終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to persistent warm, humid air masses with light winds and limited cloud cover overnight into August 25, keeping Miami's daily minimum temperature centered near 80–81°F. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 77–79°F but recent high-pressure ridging has suppressed typical radiational cooling. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with dew points remaining above 75°F and no frontal passage or tropical moisture surge expected to alter the trajectory before dawn. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probability to the 80–81°F bin, with the next most likely range (78–79°F) reflecting only modest downside risk if boundary-layer mixing increases slightly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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