**Ongoing heat wave conditions across Southern California, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and elevated atmospheric moisture, are keeping overnight lows unusually warm and suppressing typical radiative cooling.** This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 68–72°F range for downtown Los Angeles on August 25, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing recent lows near 71–72°F and AccuWeather’s monthly outlook for overnight readings between 65–75°F. Marine-layer influence and sea-breeze effects introduce variability that could allow brief dips toward the mid-60s if onshore flow strengthens, supporting the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 63°F or below. At the same time, model consensus points to persistent warmth with limited nighttime recovery, elevating odds on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated NWS forecast discussions and any late-model runs through the evening of August 24 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のロサンゼルスの最低気温は？
8月25日のロサンゼルスの最低気温は？
華氏63度以下 89%
72～73°F 51%
76〜77°F 34%
68〜69°F 28%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
華氏63度以下
89%
64〜65°F
16%
66〜67°F
16%
68〜69°F
18%
70〜71°F
29%
72～73°F
28%
74～75°F
12%
76〜77°F
34%
78～79°F
1%
80～81°F
18%
82°F以上
-
華氏63度以下 89%
72～73°F 51%
76〜77°F 34%
68〜69°F 28%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
華氏63度以下
$145 Vol.
89%
64〜65°F
$80 Vol.
16%
66〜67°F
$36 Vol.
16%
68〜69°F
$32 Vol.
18%
70〜71°F
$18 Vol.
29%
72～73°F
$11 Vol.
28%
74～75°F
$1,024 Vol.
12%
76〜77°F
$90 Vol.
34%
78～79°F
$10 Vol.
1%
80～81°F
$135 Vol.
18%
82°F以上
$274 Vol.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heat wave conditions across Southern California, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and elevated atmospheric moisture, are keeping overnight lows unusually warm and suppressing typical radiative cooling.** This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 68–72°F range for downtown Los Angeles on August 25, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing recent lows near 71–72°F and AccuWeather’s monthly outlook for overnight readings between 65–75°F. Marine-layer influence and sea-breeze effects introduce variability that could allow brief dips toward the mid-60s if onshore flow strengthens, supporting the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 63°F or below. At the same time, model consensus points to persistent warmth with limited nighttime recovery, elevating odds on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated NWS forecast discussions and any late-model runs through the evening of August 24 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$1,856終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heat wave conditions across Southern California, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and elevated atmospheric moisture, are keeping overnight lows unusually warm and suppressing typical radiative cooling.** This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 68–72°F range for downtown Los Angeles on August 25, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing recent lows near 71–72°F and AccuWeather’s monthly outlook for overnight readings between 65–75°F. Marine-layer influence and sea-breeze effects introduce variability that could allow brief dips toward the mid-60s if onshore flow strengthens, supporting the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 63°F or below. At the same time, model consensus points to persistent warmth with limited nighttime recovery, elevating odds on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated NWS forecast discussions and any late-model runs through the evening of August 24 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,856終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET**Ongoing heat wave conditions across Southern California, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and elevated atmospheric moisture, are keeping overnight lows unusually warm and suppressing typical radiative cooling.** This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 68–72°F range for downtown Los Angeles on August 25, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing recent lows near 71–72°F and AccuWeather’s monthly outlook for overnight readings between 65–75°F. Marine-layer influence and sea-breeze effects introduce variability that could allow brief dips toward the mid-60s if onshore flow strengthens, supporting the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 63°F or below. At the same time, model consensus points to persistent warmth with limited nighttime recovery, elevating odds on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated NWS forecast discussions and any late-model runs through the evening of August 24 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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