Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate a highest temperature of 20–23°C for Mexico City on August 25, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 23°C (38.5%) and 22°C (25%). The city's 2,240-meter elevation and August rainy-season pattern—marked by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection—limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input. Recent observations show cooler-than-average conditions from widespread precipitation on August 24, with model runs projecting similar stabilization into the 25th due to continued moisture and reduced insolation. These factors align with historical late-August maxima near 23–24°C, explaining trader emphasis on the narrow 22–24°C range while assigning low probability to extremes above 25°C or below 21°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
23°C 39%
22°C 24%
24℃ 22%
21°C 11%
16℃以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
24%
23°C
39%
24℃
22%
25°C
5%
26℃以上
5%
23°C 39%
22°C 24%
24℃ 22%
21°C 11%
16℃以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
24%
23°C
39%
24℃
22%
25°C
5%
26℃以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate a highest temperature of 20–23°C for Mexico City on August 25, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 23°C (38.5%) and 22°C (25%). The city's 2,240-meter elevation and August rainy-season pattern—marked by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection—limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input. Recent observations show cooler-than-average conditions from widespread precipitation on August 24, with model runs projecting similar stabilization into the 25th due to continued moisture and reduced insolation. These factors align with historical late-August maxima near 23–24°C, explaining trader emphasis on the narrow 22–24°C range while assigning low probability to extremes above 25°C or below 21°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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