Recent official forecasts from Mexican meteorological services and international models point to overnight lows near 12–13 °C for Mexico City on August 25, driven by the city's 2,240 m elevation promoting radiative cooling during the rainy season. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—typical of August's convective regime—limit temperature drops by reducing outgoing longwave radiation, while higher humidity and light winds further moderate extremes. Recent alerts for sub-10 °C readings on the 24th in western boroughs have introduced short-term uncertainty, spreading trader probabilities across the 9–15 °C bins as models diverge on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island retention. Historical August minima average near 10–12 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のメキシコシティの最低気温は？
8月25日のメキシコシティの最低気温は？
9℃以下 53%
14°C 50%
19℃以上 28%
13℃ 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
9℃以下
53%
10°C
18%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13℃
27%
14°C
27%
15℃
26%
16°C
24%
17℃
12%
18℃
13%
19℃以上
28%
9℃以下 53%
14°C 50%
19℃以上 28%
13℃ 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
9℃以下
$5 Vol.
53%
10°C
$0 Vol.
18%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13℃
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$5 Vol.
27%
15℃
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
24%
17℃
$0 Vol.
12%
18℃
$5 Vol.
13%
19℃以上
$130 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Mexican meteorological services and international models point to overnight lows near 12–13 °C for Mexico City on August 25, driven by the city's 2,240 m elevation promoting radiative cooling during the rainy season. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—typical of August's convective regime—limit temperature drops by reducing outgoing longwave radiation, while higher humidity and light winds further moderate extremes. Recent alerts for sub-10 °C readings on the 24th in western boroughs have introduced short-term uncertainty, spreading trader probabilities across the 9–15 °C bins as models diverge on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island retention. Historical August minima average near 10–12 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$145終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Mexican meteorological services and international models point to overnight lows near 12–13 °C for Mexico City on August 25, driven by the city's 2,240 m elevation promoting radiative cooling during the rainy season. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—typical of August's convective regime—limit temperature drops by reducing outgoing longwave radiation, while higher humidity and light winds further moderate extremes. Recent alerts for sub-10 °C readings on the 24th in western boroughs have introduced short-term uncertainty, spreading trader probabilities across the 9–15 °C bins as models diverge on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island retention. Historical August minima average near 10–12 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$145終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent official forecasts from Mexican meteorological services and international models point to overnight lows near 12–13 °C for Mexico City on August 25, driven by the city's 2,240 m elevation promoting radiative cooling during the rainy season. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—typical of August's convective regime—limit temperature drops by reducing outgoing longwave radiation, while higher humidity and light winds further moderate extremes. Recent alerts for sub-10 °C readings on the 24th in western boroughs have introduced short-term uncertainty, spreading trader probabilities across the 9–15 °C bins as models diverge on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island retention. Historical August minima average near 10–12 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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