Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms during Mexico City's peak rainy season are the main factors capping maximum temperatures on August 24, 2026, producing the tight market clustering around 19–20 °C. Official short-range forecasts show highs of 18–21 °C under mostly overcast skies and 70–90 % storm probability, well below the historical August average near 23 °C because of sharply reduced insolation. Minor differences among numerical weather prediction models regarding storm timing, intensity, and boundary-layer winds explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for temperatures outside 18–21 °C reflect the low likelihood of significant clear breaks or anomalous warming. New model runs and morning observations on the 24th will provide the key updates for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
8月24日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
19℃ 36%
20℃ 31%
18°C 19%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
15℃以下
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
4%
18°C
19%
19℃
36%
20℃
31%
21°C
9%
22℃
4%
23℃
2%
24℃
1%
25℃以上
<1%
19℃ 36%
20℃ 31%
18°C 19%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
15℃以下
$144 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$17 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$294 Vol.
4%
18°C
$447 Vol.
19%
19℃
$1,199 Vol.
36%
20℃
$714 Vol.
31%
21°C
$745 Vol.
9%
22℃
$620 Vol.
4%
23℃
$329 Vol.
2%
24℃
$122 Vol.
1%
25℃以上
$505 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms during Mexico City's peak rainy season are the main factors capping maximum temperatures on August 24, 2026, producing the tight market clustering around 19–20 °C. Official short-range forecasts show highs of 18–21 °C under mostly overcast skies and 70–90 % storm probability, well below the historical August average near 23 °C because of sharply reduced insolation. Minor differences among numerical weather prediction models regarding storm timing, intensity, and boundary-layer winds explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for temperatures outside 18–21 °C reflect the low likelihood of significant clear breaks or anomalous warming. New model runs and morning observations on the 24th will provide the key updates for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
音量
$5,135終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms during Mexico City's peak rainy season are the main factors capping maximum temperatures on August 24, 2026, producing the tight market clustering around 19–20 °C. Official short-range forecasts show highs of 18–21 °C under mostly overcast skies and 70–90 % storm probability, well below the historical August average near 23 °C because of sharply reduced insolation. Minor differences among numerical weather prediction models regarding storm timing, intensity, and boundary-layer winds explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for temperatures outside 18–21 °C reflect the low likelihood of significant clear breaks or anomalous warming. New model runs and morning observations on the 24th will provide the key updates for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,135終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETPersistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms during Mexico City's peak rainy season are the main factors capping maximum temperatures on August 24, 2026, producing the tight market clustering around 19–20 °C. Official short-range forecasts show highs of 18–21 °C under mostly overcast skies and 70–90 % storm probability, well below the historical August average near 23 °C because of sharply reduced insolation. Minor differences among numerical weather prediction models regarding storm timing, intensity, and boundary-layer winds explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for temperatures outside 18–21 °C reflect the low likelihood of significant clear breaks or anomalous warming. New model runs and morning observations on the 24th will provide the key updates for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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