Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on July 23 most likely between 17°C and 20°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A passing Atlantic trough is expected to increase cloud cover and bring light showers or patchy rain, limiting daytime insolation and keeping maxima below seasonal July averages near 24°C. Minor differences among leading probabilities reflect subtle variations in predicted frontal timing, low-level moisture, and wind patterns across runs from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS, with updates through July 21 showing stable consensus rather than sharp shifts. Historical analogs for late-July cool outbreaks in central Poland support the current distribution, while resolution hinges on official maximum readings from Warsaw meteorological stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月23日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
7月23日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
19°C 34%
20°C 27%
18°C 23%
21°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/07/23
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
23%
19°C
34%
20°C
27%
21°C
10%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 34%
20°C 27%
18°C 23%
21°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/07/23
14°C or below
$96 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$164 Vol.
1%
16°C
$108 Vol.
1%
17°C
$193 Vol.
8%
18°C
$117 Vol.
23%
19°C
$268 Vol.
34%
20°C
$207 Vol.
27%
21°C
$139 Vol.
10%
22°C
$116 Vol.
1%
23°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$113 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on July 23 most likely between 17°C and 20°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A passing Atlantic trough is expected to increase cloud cover and bring light showers or patchy rain, limiting daytime insolation and keeping maxima below seasonal July averages near 24°C. Minor differences among leading probabilities reflect subtle variations in predicted frontal timing, low-level moisture, and wind patterns across runs from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS, with updates through July 21 showing stable consensus rather than sharp shifts. Historical analogs for late-July cool outbreaks in central Poland support the current distribution, while resolution hinges on official maximum readings from Warsaw meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$1,580終了日
2026/07/23マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on July 23 most likely between 17°C and 20°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A passing Atlantic trough is expected to increase cloud cover and bring light showers or patchy rain, limiting daytime insolation and keeping maxima below seasonal July averages near 24°C. Minor differences among leading probabilities reflect subtle variations in predicted frontal timing, low-level moisture, and wind patterns across runs from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS, with updates through July 21 showing stable consensus rather than sharp shifts. Historical analogs for late-July cool outbreaks in central Poland support the current distribution, while resolution hinges on official maximum readings from Warsaw meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,580終了日
2026/07/23マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on July 23 most likely between 17°C and 20°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A passing Atlantic trough is expected to increase cloud cover and bring light showers or patchy rain, limiting daytime insolation and keeping maxima below seasonal July averages near 24°C. Minor differences among leading probabilities reflect subtle variations in predicted frontal timing, low-level moisture, and wind patterns across runs from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS, with updates through July 21 showing stable consensus rather than sharp shifts. Historical analogs for late-July cool outbreaks in central Poland support the current distribution, while resolution hinges on official maximum readings from Warsaw meteorological stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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