Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Zhengzhou on September 22 with light southerly winds and low precipitation chances under 10 percent, supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29°C. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the region, where daytime heating under reduced cloud cover typically yields highs in that range following Monday’s overcast conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the close 30°C and 28°C probabilities, centers on minor model spread in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution depending on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated model guidance through the evening of the 21st will refine the exact threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日の鄭州の最高気温は?
32°C以上 50%
28℃ 29%
29℃ 24%
30℃ 21%
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
13%
27°C
11%
28℃
29%
29℃
24%
30℃
34%
31℃
4%
32°C以上
50%
32°C以上 50%
28℃ 29%
29℃ 24%
30℃ 21%
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
13%
27°C
11%
28℃
29%
29℃
24%
30℃
34%
31℃
4%
32°C以上
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Zhengzhou on September 22 with light southerly winds and low precipitation chances under 10 percent, supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29°C. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the region, where daytime heating under reduced cloud cover typically yields highs in that range following Monday’s overcast conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the close 30°C and 28°C probabilities, centers on minor model spread in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution depending on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated model guidance through the evening of the 21st will refine the exact threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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