Strong critical reception and a robust 18 Emmy nominations—including Outstanding Drama Series—for the freshman Apple TV+ series from Vince Gilligan have driven trader consensus toward 2-3 wins at 61.5% implied probability. Rhea Seehorn’s lead actress nod, plus supporting category placements and technical bids, reflect the show’s originality and acting acclaim, bolstered by her prior Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe wins. However, a crowded drama field featuring high-nomination contenders like The Pitt limits upside, with historical patterns for new series and Gilligan projects favoring modest hauls over sweeps. The September 14 ceremony remains the key catalyst, though late guild results or narrative shifts could adjust momentum for categories like writing or sound.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日How many Emmys will “Pluribus” win?
How many Emmys will “Pluribus” win?
2-3 62%
0-1 38%
4-5 3.1%
6-7 <1%
$23,434 Vol.
$23,434 Vol.
2026/09/14
0-1
38%
2-3
62%
4-5
3%
6-7
<1%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
2-3 62%
0-1 38%
4-5 3.1%
6-7 <1%
$23,434 Vol.
$23,434 Vol.
2026/09/14
0-1
$6,710 Vol.
38%
2-3
$7,229 Vol.
62%
4-5
$5,140 Vol.
3%
6-7
$2,239 Vol.
<1%
8-9
$1,304 Vol.
<1%
10+
$813 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong critical reception and a robust 18 Emmy nominations—including Outstanding Drama Series—for the freshman Apple TV+ series from Vince Gilligan have driven trader consensus toward 2-3 wins at 61.5% implied probability. Rhea Seehorn’s lead actress nod, plus supporting category placements and technical bids, reflect the show’s originality and acting acclaim, bolstered by her prior Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe wins. However, a crowded drama field featuring high-nomination contenders like The Pitt limits upside, with historical patterns for new series and Gilligan projects favoring modest hauls over sweeps. The September 14 ceremony remains the key catalyst, though late guild results or narrative shifts could adjust momentum for categories like writing or sound.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
音量
$23,434終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong critical reception and a robust 18 Emmy nominations—including Outstanding Drama Series—for the freshman Apple TV+ series from Vince Gilligan have driven trader consensus toward 2-3 wins at 61.5% implied probability. Rhea Seehorn’s lead actress nod, plus supporting category placements and technical bids, reflect the show’s originality and acting acclaim, bolstered by her prior Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe wins. However, a crowded drama field featuring high-nomination contenders like The Pitt limits upside, with historical patterns for new series and Gilligan projects favoring modest hauls over sweeps. The September 14 ceremony remains the key catalyst, though late guild results or narrative shifts could adjust momentum for categories like writing or sound.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$23,434終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong critical reception and a robust 18 Emmy nominations—including Outstanding Drama Series—for the freshman Apple TV+ series from Vince Gilligan have driven trader consensus toward 2-3 wins at 61.5% implied probability. Rhea Seehorn’s lead actress nod, plus supporting category placements and technical bids, reflect the show’s originality and acting acclaim, bolstered by her prior Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe wins. However, a crowded drama field featuring high-nomination contenders like The Pitt limits upside, with historical patterns for new series and Gilligan projects favoring modest hauls over sweeps. The September 14 ceremony remains the key catalyst, though late guild results or narrative shifts could adjust momentum for categories like writing or sound.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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