Widow’s Bay’s 19 Emmy nominations, the highest for any new series, have anchored trader expectations around a modest 2-3 wins. The Apple TV+ horror-comedy’s strong critical reception, breakout buzz, and nods across comedy series, lead actor Matthew Rhys, supporting performances, directing, writing, and technical fields reflect broad industry approval for its inventive tone. However, the competitive Outstanding Comedy Series field, led by returning frontrunner Hacks, combined with historical patterns favoring established shows over newcomers, keeps higher win totals at lower implied probabilities. The September 14 ceremony remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift momentum based on guild and precursor signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日How many Emmys will “Widow's Bay” win?
How many Emmys will “Widow's Bay” win?
2-3 60%
4-5 24%
0-1 13.8%
6-7 5.1%
$27,383 Vol.
$27,383 Vol.
2026/09/14
0-1
14%
2-3
60%
4-5
24%
6-7
5%
8-9
1%
10+
1%
2-3 60%
4-5 24%
0-1 13.8%
6-7 5.1%
$27,383 Vol.
$27,383 Vol.
2026/09/14
0-1
$1,091 Vol.
14%
2-3
$8,956 Vol.
60%
4-5
$13,079 Vol.
24%
6-7
$1,923 Vol.
5%
8-9
$1,485 Vol.
1%
10+
$849 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Widow's Bay," or by people for their roles in "Widow's Bay," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Widow’s Bay’s 19 Emmy nominations, the highest for any new series, have anchored trader expectations around a modest 2-3 wins. The Apple TV+ horror-comedy’s strong critical reception, breakout buzz, and nods across comedy series, lead actor Matthew Rhys, supporting performances, directing, writing, and technical fields reflect broad industry approval for its inventive tone. However, the competitive Outstanding Comedy Series field, led by returning frontrunner Hacks, combined with historical patterns favoring established shows over newcomers, keeps higher win totals at lower implied probabilities. The September 14 ceremony remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift momentum based on guild and precursor signals.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Widow's Bay," or by people for their roles in "Widow's Bay," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Widow's Bay," or by people for their roles in "Widow's Bay," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
音量
$27,383終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Widow's Bay," or by people for their roles in "Widow's Bay," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Widow’s Bay’s 19 Emmy nominations, the highest for any new series, have anchored trader expectations around a modest 2-3 wins. The Apple TV+ horror-comedy’s strong critical reception, breakout buzz, and nods across comedy series, lead actor Matthew Rhys, supporting performances, directing, writing, and technical fields reflect broad industry approval for its inventive tone. However, the competitive Outstanding Comedy Series field, led by returning frontrunner Hacks, combined with historical patterns favoring established shows over newcomers, keeps higher win totals at lower implied probabilities. The September 14 ceremony remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift momentum based on guild and precursor signals.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Widow's Bay," or by people for their roles in "Widow's Bay," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Widow's Bay," or by people for their roles in "Widow's Bay," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$27,383終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Widow’s Bay’s 19 Emmy nominations, the highest for any new series, have anchored trader expectations around a modest 2-3 wins. The Apple TV+ horror-comedy’s strong critical reception, breakout buzz, and nods across comedy series, lead actor Matthew Rhys, supporting performances, directing, writing, and technical fields reflect broad industry approval for its inventive tone. However, the competitive Outstanding Comedy Series field, led by returning frontrunner Hacks, combined with historical patterns favoring established shows over newcomers, keeps higher win totals at lower implied probabilities. The September 14 ceremony remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift momentum based on guild and precursor signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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