The Jones Act market remains closely balanced near even odds because temporary executive waivers issued in March 2026 amid Iran-related energy disruptions have demonstrated short-term flexibility without enacting permanent statutory change. Reform legislation such as the Open America's Waters Act and related noncontiguous trade bills introduced in the 119th Congress faces entrenched opposition from maritime unions and coastal-state lawmakers concerned with shipbuilding and national-security impacts, while energy and consumer groups highlight cost reductions observed during the waivers. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Congress will advance full repeal or broad exemption by year-end, versus continued reliance on time-limited DHS actions. Key variables that could shift probabilities include Senate or House floor action on pending bills, further waiver extensions or expansions, shifts in energy prices tied to ongoing conflicts, or electoral outcomes altering committee control and legislative priorities before December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/12/31
新規
新規
2026/12/31
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Jones Act market remains closely balanced near even odds because temporary executive waivers issued in March 2026 amid Iran-related energy disruptions have demonstrated short-term flexibility without enacting permanent statutory change. Reform legislation such as the Open America's Waters Act and related noncontiguous trade bills introduced in the 119th Congress faces entrenched opposition from maritime unions and coastal-state lawmakers concerned with shipbuilding and national-security impacts, while energy and consumer groups highlight cost reductions observed during the waivers. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Congress will advance full repeal or broad exemption by year-end, versus continued reliance on time-limited DHS actions. Key variables that could shift probabilities include Senate or House floor action on pending bills, further waiver extensions or expansions, shifts in energy prices tied to ongoing conflicts, or electoral outcomes altering committee control and legislative priorities before December 31.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Jones Act market remains closely balanced near even odds because temporary executive waivers issued in March 2026 amid Iran-related energy disruptions have demonstrated short-term flexibility without enacting permanent statutory change. Reform legislation such as the Open America's Waters Act and related noncontiguous trade bills introduced in the 119th Congress faces entrenched opposition from maritime unions and coastal-state lawmakers concerned with shipbuilding and national-security impacts, while energy and consumer groups highlight cost reductions observed during the waivers. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Congress will advance full repeal or broad exemption by year-end, versus continued reliance on time-limited DHS actions. Key variables that could shift probabilities include Senate or House floor action on pending bills, further waiver extensions or expansions, shifts in energy prices tied to ongoing conflicts, or electoral outcomes altering committee control and legislative priorities before December 31.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Jones Act market remains closely balanced near even odds because temporary executive waivers issued in March 2026 amid Iran-related energy disruptions have demonstrated short-term flexibility without enacting permanent statutory change. Reform legislation such as the Open America's Waters Act and related noncontiguous trade bills introduced in the 119th Congress faces entrenched opposition from maritime unions and coastal-state lawmakers concerned with shipbuilding and national-security impacts, while energy and consumer groups highlight cost reductions observed during the waivers. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Congress will advance full repeal or broad exemption by year-end, versus continued reliance on time-limited DHS actions. Key variables that could shift probabilities include Senate or House floor action on pending bills, further waiver extensions or expansions, shifts in energy prices tied to ongoing conflicts, or electoral outcomes altering committee control and legislative priorities before December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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