The account associated with Iran's supreme leader maintains a consistent posting rhythm on X, typically releasing several statements per week that reference religious observances, resistance themes, or regional developments. Activity around the Arbaeen period in early August 2026 has featured multiple daily posts drawing on historical quotes tied to current events, aligning with patterns observed since Mojtaba Khamenei's succession. Trader consensus on 5-14 posts for July 31–August 7 reflects this baseline frequency, with limited signs of acceleration from acute geopolitical triggers or official announcements in the immediate window. Historical base rates for the handle show steady output absent major crises, while any late-week diplomatic statements or commemorations could influence final totals within the resolution period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5-9 51%
10-14 27.0%
15-19 5.3%
20-24 4.7%
$16,850 Vol.
$16,850 Vol.
2026/08/07
5-9
51%
10-14
37%
15-19
5%
20-24
5%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
5-9 51%
10-14 27.0%
15-19 5.3%
20-24 4.7%
$16,850 Vol.
$16,850 Vol.
2026/08/07
5-9
$4,510 Vol.
51%
10-14
$2,954 Vol.
37%
15-19
$1,126 Vol.
5%
20-24
$558 Vol.
5%
25-29
$345 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$314 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$370 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$354 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$311 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$329 Vol.
1%
55-59
$345 Vol.
1%
60+
$318 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account associated with Iran's supreme leader maintains a consistent posting rhythm on X, typically releasing several statements per week that reference religious observances, resistance themes, or regional developments. Activity around the Arbaeen period in early August 2026 has featured multiple daily posts drawing on historical quotes tied to current events, aligning with patterns observed since Mojtaba Khamenei's succession. Trader consensus on 5-14 posts for July 31–August 7 reflects this baseline frequency, with limited signs of acceleration from acute geopolitical triggers or official announcements in the immediate window. Historical base rates for the handle show steady output absent major crises, while any late-week diplomatic statements or commemorations could influence final totals within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$16,850終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account associated with Iran's supreme leader maintains a consistent posting rhythm on X, typically releasing several statements per week that reference religious observances, resistance themes, or regional developments. Activity around the Arbaeen period in early August 2026 has featured multiple daily posts drawing on historical quotes tied to current events, aligning with patterns observed since Mojtaba Khamenei's succession. Trader consensus on 5-14 posts for July 31–August 7 reflects this baseline frequency, with limited signs of acceleration from acute geopolitical triggers or official announcements in the immediate window. Historical base rates for the handle show steady output absent major crises, while any late-week diplomatic statements or commemorations could influence final totals within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$16,850終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The account associated with Iran's supreme leader maintains a consistent posting rhythm on X, typically releasing several statements per week that reference religious observances, resistance themes, or regional developments. Activity around the Arbaeen period in early August 2026 has featured multiple daily posts drawing on historical quotes tied to current events, aligning with patterns observed since Mojtaba Khamenei's succession. Trader consensus on 5-14 posts for July 31–August 7 reflects this baseline frequency, with limited signs of acceleration from acute geopolitical triggers or official announcements in the immediate window. Historical base rates for the handle show steady output absent major crises, while any late-week diplomatic statements or commemorations could influence final totals within the resolution period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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