Skip to main content
icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月6日〜8月8日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月6日〜8月8日?

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月6日〜8月8日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月6日〜8月8日?

40〜64 42%

65~89 34%

40未満 15%

90〜114 10%

Polymarket
新規

40〜64 42%

65~89 34%

40未満 15%

90〜114 10%

Polymarket
新規

40未満

$508 Vol.

15%

40〜64

$235 Vol.

42%

65~89

$213 Vol.

34%

90〜114

$59 Vol.

10%

115〜139

$40 Vol.

2%

140~164

$60 Vol.

<1%

165〜189

$0 Vol.

<1%

190~214

$6 Vol.

<1%

215~239

$1,771 Vol.

<1%

240以上

$1,931 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume over short windows like August 6-8 typically tracks his established high-frequency posting rhythm on X, where daily output often lands in the mid-teens to upper-20s range absent major breaking events. With no standout catalysts—such as product launches, earnings, or high-profile controversies—flagged for that exact stretch, traders have coalesced around the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the most probable outcomes, reflecting steady but unspectacular activity levels seen in comparable recent periods. Momentum could shift if Tesla or SpaceX news surfaces, political commentary spikes, or weekend engagement patterns deviate from norms, though historical data shows such three-day totals rarely exceed 90 without external drivers. The tight split between the top two bands underscores uncertainty around minor fluctuations in reply volume and thread activity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$4,823
終了日
2026/08/08
マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume over short windows like August 6-8 typically tracks his established high-frequency posting rhythm on X, where daily output often lands in the mid-teens to upper-20s range absent major breaking events. With no standout catalysts—such as product launches, earnings, or high-profile controversies—flagged for that exact stretch, traders have coalesced around the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the most probable outcomes, reflecting steady but unspectacular activity levels seen in comparable recent periods. Momentum could shift if Tesla or SpaceX news surfaces, political commentary spikes, or weekend engagement patterns deviate from norms, though historical data shows such three-day totals rarely exceed 90 without external drivers. The tight split between the top two bands underscores uncertainty around minor fluctuations in reply volume and thread activity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$4,823
終了日
2026/08/08
マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月6日〜8月8日?」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「40〜64」で42%、次いで「65~89」が34%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、42¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に42%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月6日〜8月8日?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 3, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月6日〜8月8日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月6日〜8月8日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「40〜64」で42%であり、市場がこの結果に42%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「65~89」で34%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月6日〜8月8日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。