**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record domestic opening of roughly $360 million and a $932 million global debut, setting an exceptionally high bar for its second weekend. With all listed ranges trading near equal implied probabilities around 42.5 percent, traders are pricing in substantial uncertainty over the film’s hold. Key swing factors include typical post-record drop patterns for event films, strong early word-of-mouth supported by a 90 percent critics score and solid audience metrics, plus limited counterprogramming from titles such as The Odyssey. Historical precedents for franchise openers above $300 million show second-weekend grosses commonly landing between $170 million and $220 million depending on reviews, family appeal, and August timing. Upcoming chart and exit-poll updates this week will likely sharpen the range before the August 7–9 frame locks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 47%
1億8000万～1億9000万 43%
2億〜2億1千万 43%
2億2千万以上 43%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
<180m
47%
1億8000万～1億9000万
43%
190-200m
42%
2億〜2億1千万
43%
2億1千万～2億2千万
42%
2億2千万以上
43%
<180m 47%
1億8000万～1億9000万 43%
2億〜2億1千万 43%
2億2千万以上 43%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
<180m
$0 Vol.
47%
1億8000万～1億9000万
$0 Vol.
43%
190-200m
$0 Vol.
42%
2億〜2億1千万
$0 Vol.
43%
2億1千万～2億2千万
$0 Vol.
42%
2億2千万以上
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record domestic opening of roughly $360 million and a $932 million global debut, setting an exceptionally high bar for its second weekend. With all listed ranges trading near equal implied probabilities around 42.5 percent, traders are pricing in substantial uncertainty over the film’s hold. Key swing factors include typical post-record drop patterns for event films, strong early word-of-mouth supported by a 90 percent critics score and solid audience metrics, plus limited counterprogramming from titles such as The Odyssey. Historical precedents for franchise openers above $300 million show second-weekend grosses commonly landing between $170 million and $220 million depending on reviews, family appeal, and August timing. Upcoming chart and exit-poll updates this week will likely sharpen the range before the August 7–9 frame locks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record domestic opening of roughly $360 million and a $932 million global debut, setting an exceptionally high bar for its second weekend. With all listed ranges trading near equal implied probabilities around 42.5 percent, traders are pricing in substantial uncertainty over the film’s hold. Key swing factors include typical post-record drop patterns for event films, strong early word-of-mouth supported by a 90 percent critics score and solid audience metrics, plus limited counterprogramming from titles such as The Odyssey. Historical precedents for franchise openers above $300 million show second-weekend grosses commonly landing between $170 million and $220 million depending on reviews, family appeal, and August timing. Upcoming chart and exit-poll updates this week will likely sharpen the range before the August 7–9 frame locks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record domestic opening of roughly $360 million and a $932 million global debut, setting an exceptionally high bar for its second weekend. With all listed ranges trading near equal implied probabilities around 42.5 percent, traders are pricing in substantial uncertainty over the film’s hold. Key swing factors include typical post-record drop patterns for event films, strong early word-of-mouth supported by a 90 percent critics score and solid audience metrics, plus limited counterprogramming from titles such as The Odyssey. Historical precedents for franchise openers above $300 million show second-weekend grosses commonly landing between $170 million and $220 million depending on reviews, family appeal, and August timing. Upcoming chart and exit-poll updates this week will likely sharpen the range before the August 7–9 frame locks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問