Strong presales and franchise momentum position *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* for a robust domestic opening as it debuts July 31, with industry tracking centering on the $230–250 million range amid Tom Holland’s star power and positive early buzz around its more mature tone. Recent trailers have sustained fan engagement while comparisons to *No Way Home*’s record $260 million debut set a high bar, though current forecasts sit below that benchmark due to a crowded 2026 summer slate. The closely matched market-implied odds across higher strike ranges reflect uncertainty over final presale velocity, review scores, and word-of-mouth in the final days before theaters open, with any late surge in advance ticket sales or strong critical consensus likely to shift sentiment toward the upper end of projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス（ハイストライク）
「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス（ハイストライク）
300-310m 46%
290-300m 43%
280-290m 43%
310-320m 43%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
<280m
41%
280-290m
43%
290-300m
43%
300-310m
46%
310-320m
43%
320-330m
43%
330-340m
42%
340〜350万ドル
42%
3億5,000万ドル以上
26%
300-310m 46%
290-300m 43%
280-290m 43%
310-320m 43%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
<280m
$0 Vol.
41%
280-290m
$0 Vol.
43%
290-300m
$0 Vol.
43%
300-310m
$0 Vol.
46%
310-320m
$0 Vol.
43%
320-330m
$0 Vol.
43%
330-340m
$0 Vol.
42%
340〜350万ドル
$0 Vol.
42%
3億5,000万ドル以上
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong presales and franchise momentum position *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* for a robust domestic opening as it debuts July 31, with industry tracking centering on the $230–250 million range amid Tom Holland’s star power and positive early buzz around its more mature tone. Recent trailers have sustained fan engagement while comparisons to *No Way Home*’s record $260 million debut set a high bar, though current forecasts sit below that benchmark due to a crowded 2026 summer slate. The closely matched market-implied odds across higher strike ranges reflect uncertainty over final presale velocity, review scores, and word-of-mouth in the final days before theaters open, with any late surge in advance ticket sales or strong critical consensus likely to shift sentiment toward the upper end of projections.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2026, 8:33 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 8:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong presales and franchise momentum position *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* for a robust domestic opening as it debuts July 31, with industry tracking centering on the $230–250 million range amid Tom Holland’s star power and positive early buzz around its more mature tone. Recent trailers have sustained fan engagement while comparisons to *No Way Home*’s record $260 million debut set a high bar, though current forecasts sit below that benchmark due to a crowded 2026 summer slate. The closely matched market-implied odds across higher strike ranges reflect uncertainty over final presale velocity, review scores, and word-of-mouth in the final days before theaters open, with any late surge in advance ticket sales or strong critical consensus likely to shift sentiment toward the upper end of projections.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 8:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong presales and franchise momentum position *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* for a robust domestic opening as it debuts July 31, with industry tracking centering on the $230–250 million range amid Tom Holland’s star power and positive early buzz around its more mature tone. Recent trailers have sustained fan engagement while comparisons to *No Way Home*’s record $260 million debut set a high bar, though current forecasts sit below that benchmark due to a crowded 2026 summer slate. The closely matched market-implied odds across higher strike ranges reflect uncertainty over final presale velocity, review scores, and word-of-mouth in the final days before theaters open, with any late surge in advance ticket sales or strong critical consensus likely to shift sentiment toward the upper end of projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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