Traders see overwhelming evidence that *Avengers: Doomsday* will hold its December 18, 2026 date, with filming wrapped in September 2025 and the Russo brothers deep in post-production edits as recently as late July. Disney and Marvel have maintained the slot through multiple prior adjustments, debunked June 2026 delay rumors outright, and accelerated marketing with SDCC footage, a D23 “special look,” and an *Endgame* re-release timed to build momentum. The film’s scale and VFX demands create some residual risk of last-minute refinements, yet the absence of fresh production setbacks or official signals three months out underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability of an on-time release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイは遅れるのか？
アベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイは遅れるのか？
はい
4% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/18
はい
4% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/18
Avengers: Doomsday is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Traders see overwhelming evidence that *Avengers: Doomsday* will hold its December 18, 2026 date, with filming wrapped in September 2025 and the Russo brothers deep in post-production edits as recently as late July. Disney and Marvel have maintained the slot through multiple prior adjustments, debunked June 2026 delay rumors outright, and accelerated marketing with SDCC footage, a D23 “special look,” and an *Endgame* re-release timed to build momentum. The film’s scale and VFX demands create some residual risk of last-minute refinements, yet the absence of fresh production setbacks or official signals three months out underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability of an on-time release.
Avengers: Doomsday is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
音量
$3,862終了日
2026/12/18マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 9:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Avengers: Doomsday is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Traders see overwhelming evidence that *Avengers: Doomsday* will hold its December 18, 2026 date, with filming wrapped in September 2025 and the Russo brothers deep in post-production edits as recently as late July. Disney and Marvel have maintained the slot through multiple prior adjustments, debunked June 2026 delay rumors outright, and accelerated marketing with SDCC footage, a D23 “special look,” and an *Endgame* re-release timed to build momentum. The film’s scale and VFX demands create some residual risk of last-minute refinements, yet the absence of fresh production setbacks or official signals three months out underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability of an on-time release.
Avengers: Doomsday is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$3,862終了日
2026/12/18マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 9:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Traders see overwhelming evidence that *Avengers: Doomsday* will hold its December 18, 2026 date, with filming wrapped in September 2025 and the Russo brothers deep in post-production edits as recently as late July. Disney and Marvel have maintained the slot through multiple prior adjustments, debunked June 2026 delay rumors outright, and accelerated marketing with SDCC footage, a D23 “special look,” and an *Endgame* re-release timed to build momentum. The film’s scale and VFX demands create some residual risk of last-minute refinements, yet the absence of fresh production setbacks or official signals three months out underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability of an on-time release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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