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icon for デューン:パート3は遅れますか?

デューン:パート3は遅れますか?

icon for デューン:パート3は遅れますか?

デューン:パート3は遅れますか?

はい

3% 確率
Polymarket

$13,498 Vol.

はい

3% 確率
Polymarket

$13,498 Vol.

Dune: Part Three is expected to be released on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof. Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Denis Villeneuve’s Dune: Part Three maintains its December 18, 2026 release with overwhelming market-implied odds near 97.5% against delay because principal photography wrapped in November 2025 after a smooth multi-location shoot, leaving nearly a full year for post-production. Recent milestones including teaser releases, IMAX ticket sales in August 2026, and Villeneuve’s public confirmation that visual effects work remains on pace reinforce trader consensus. The film’s advanced stage contrasts sharply with earlier franchise delays tied to strikes, and no guild conflicts or major cast scheduling issues have emerged. While shared release timing with Avengers: Doomsday could prompt studio conversations, the absence of reported setbacks or revised dates keeps realistic upset scenarios limited to unforeseen VFX complications or last-minute corporate decisions.

Dune: Part Three is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.

Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Dune: Part Three is expected to be released on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof. Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$13,498
終了日
2026/12/18
マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
Dune: Part Three is expected to be released on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof. Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Denis Villeneuve’s Dune: Part Three maintains its December 18, 2026 release with overwhelming market-implied odds near 97.5% against delay because principal photography wrapped in November 2025 after a smooth multi-location shoot, leaving nearly a full year for post-production. Recent milestones including teaser releases, IMAX ticket sales in August 2026, and Villeneuve’s public confirmation that visual effects work remains on pace reinforce trader consensus. The film’s advanced stage contrasts sharply with earlier franchise delays tied to strikes, and no guild conflicts or major cast scheduling issues have emerged. While shared release timing with Avengers: Doomsday could prompt studio conversations, the absence of reported setbacks or revised dates keeps realistic upset scenarios limited to unforeseen VFX complications or last-minute corporate decisions.

Dune: Part Three is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.

Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Dune: Part Three is expected to be released on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof. Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$13,498
終了日
2026/12/18
マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「デューン:パート3は遅れますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「『デューン:パート3』は延期されますか?」で2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、2¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に2%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「デューン:パート3は遅れますか?」は$13.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「デューン:パート3は遅れますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「デューン:パート3は遅れますか?」の現在のリーダーは「『デューン:パート3』は延期されますか?」でわずか2%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「デューン:パート3は遅れますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。