Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability that South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem will avoid impeachment in 2026, reflecting Republican supermajority control of the state legislature and the absence of any formal proceedings, articles of impeachment, or bipartisan legislative momentum. No major scandals, ethics investigations, or policy disputes have prompted calls for removal, consistent with the historical rarity of successful gubernatorial impeachments absent broad consensus. The current legislative calendar focuses on appropriations and routine oversight rather than extraordinary measures, leaving no near-term catalysts that would alter this trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Kristi Noemは2026年に弾劾されましたか？
Kristi Noemは2026年に弾劾されましたか？
はい
$17,632 Vol.
$17,632 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$17,632 Vol.
$17,632 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability that South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem will avoid impeachment in 2026, reflecting Republican supermajority control of the state legislature and the absence of any formal proceedings, articles of impeachment, or bipartisan legislative momentum. No major scandals, ethics investigations, or policy disputes have prompted calls for removal, consistent with the historical rarity of successful gubernatorial impeachments absent broad consensus. The current legislative calendar focuses on appropriations and routine oversight rather than extraordinary measures, leaving no near-term catalysts that would alter this trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
音量
$17,632終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability that South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem will avoid impeachment in 2026, reflecting Republican supermajority control of the state legislature and the absence of any formal proceedings, articles of impeachment, or bipartisan legislative momentum. No major scandals, ethics investigations, or policy disputes have prompted calls for removal, consistent with the historical rarity of successful gubernatorial impeachments absent broad consensus. The current legislative calendar focuses on appropriations and routine oversight rather than extraordinary measures, leaving no near-term catalysts that would alter this trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$17,632終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability that South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem will avoid impeachment in 2026, reflecting Republican supermajority control of the state legislature and the absence of any formal proceedings, articles of impeachment, or bipartisan legislative momentum. No major scandals, ethics investigations, or policy disputes have prompted calls for removal, consistent with the historical rarity of successful gubernatorial impeachments absent broad consensus. The current legislative calendar focuses on appropriations and routine oversight rather than extraordinary measures, leaving no near-term catalysts that would alter this trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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