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Politics·Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

icon for Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Politics·Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

12% 確率
Polymarket

$19,134 Vol.

12% 確率
Polymarket

$19,134 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic-led impeachment efforts against Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary began in January 2026 but faced structural barriers that have kept removal odds low.** Rep. Robin Kelly introduced articles citing obstruction of congressional oversight, public trust violations tied to use-of-force incidents, and self-dealing concerns; the resolution drew over 70 cosponsors, mostly Democrats. With Republicans holding the House majority, the measure received no committee advancement or floor consideration. Noem departed the DHS role in March 2026 when President Trump reassigned her to a different position amid separate scrutiny over agency operations and spending. As of mid-June 2026, no active impeachment proceedings exist, and her changed official status removes the immediate target for removal. Trader consensus at 86.9% against impeachment in 2026 aligns with historical patterns in which opposition-party articles rarely advance in a chamber controlled by the president's party, especially once the official has left the position. Upcoming events within the calendar year, such as any renewed legislative push, would need to overcome these same partisan and procedural thresholds to alter the current implied probability.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$19,134
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic-led impeachment efforts against Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary began in January 2026 but faced structural barriers that have kept removal odds low.** Rep. Robin Kelly introduced articles citing obstruction of congressional oversight, public trust violations tied to use-of-force incidents, and self-dealing concerns; the resolution drew over 70 cosponsors, mostly Democrats. With Republicans holding the House majority, the measure received no committee advancement or floor consideration. Noem departed the DHS role in March 2026 when President Trump reassigned her to a different position amid separate scrutiny over agency operations and spending. As of mid-June 2026, no active impeachment proceedings exist, and her changed official status removes the immediate target for removal. Trader consensus at 86.9% against impeachment in 2026 aligns with historical patterns in which opposition-party articles rarely advance in a chamber controlled by the president's party, especially once the official has left the position. Upcoming events within the calendar year, such as any renewed legislative push, would need to overcome these same partisan and procedural thresholds to alter the current implied probability.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$19,134
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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よくある質問

「Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して12%です。例えば、「はい」が12¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を12%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?」は$19.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 19, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して12%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を12%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。