The near-even 51% market-implied odds for a 2026 engagement reflect the couple’s established public relationship since 2023 alongside the absence of any verified proposal or official statements. Livvy Dunne and Paul Skenes continue appearing together at events, sharing date-night updates and celebrating milestones such as her October birthday getaway in the Bahamas, underscoring ongoing commitment and mutual support amid her post-gymnastics acting pursuits and his MLB schedule. Traders appear to weigh their consistent social-media presence and off-season flexibility against the inherent unpredictability of private celebrity timelines, with no guild-style precursors or confirmed announcements to tip consensus. Holiday periods or career announcements could quickly shift sentiment if they produce verifiable updates.