Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park recorded a minimum temperature in the 60-61°F range on October 13, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that bin. Mild overnight conditions featured light winds and clear skies under a stable high-pressure system, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the low well above the climatological average of about 52°F. Model guidance and real-time station data showed consistent readings with no cold-air advection or frontal passage to depress temperatures further. While minor discrepancies between observing sites or exact timing windows could theoretically shift the precise value, the strong observational consensus and absence of conflicting reports leave little room for alternative outcomes.
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