Current forecasts from European models indicate a persistent warm air mass over northern France, with Paris overnight lows for June 27 projected between 21–23°C amid limited radiative cooling from possible evening clouds or scattered thunderstorms. Météo-France and ensemble guidance show high daytime maxima near 36–38°C transitioning to these minima, consistent with climatological June baselines but elevated by the ongoing late-month heatwave pattern. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 21–25°C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or cloud timing can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Longer-range uncertainty remains modest given the short forecast horizon, though any strengthening of the Atlantic ridge or unexpected clear skies could push readings toward the lower end of the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月27日のパリの最低気温は?
22°C 63%
21℃ 29%
20℃以下 20.0%
23℃ 6%
$11,538 Vol.
$11,538 Vol.
20℃以下
23%
21℃
29%
22°C
54%
23℃
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C以上
<1%
22°C 63%
21℃ 29%
20℃以下 20.0%
23℃ 6%
$11,538 Vol.
$11,538 Vol.
20℃以下
23%
21℃
29%
22°C
54%
23℃
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from European models indicate a persistent warm air mass over northern France, with Paris overnight lows for June 27 projected between 21–23°C amid limited radiative cooling from possible evening clouds or scattered thunderstorms. Météo-France and ensemble guidance show high daytime maxima near 36–38°C transitioning to these minima, consistent with climatological June baselines but elevated by the ongoing late-month heatwave pattern. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 21–25°C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or cloud timing can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Longer-range uncertainty remains modest given the short forecast horizon, though any strengthening of the Atlantic ridge or unexpected clear skies could push readings toward the lower end of the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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