Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月10日の東京の最低気温は?
24℃ 95.5%
23°C 4.5%
18℃以下 <1%
19℃ <1%
$20,989 Vol.
$20,989 Vol.
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
5%
24℃
96%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
24℃ 95.5%
23°C 4.5%
18℃以下 <1%
19℃ <1%
$20,989 Vol.
$20,989 Vol.
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
5%
24℃
96%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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