Meta’s current ~$1.50T market cap reflects trader focus on its aggressive 2026 AI capex guidance of $125–145 billion, which funds data centers, custom silicon, and models like Muse Spark from Meta Superintelligence Labs. Recent quarters delivered strong ad revenue growth and daily active user expansion above 3.5 billion, yet shares faced pressure after earnings due to concerns over near-term margins and ROI timelines versus closed competitors like OpenAI or Google. With the next earnings report after September, sentiment hinges on any interim AI capability updates, broader tech sector momentum, and regulatory developments. The near-even split between the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T buckets underscores uncertainty over whether efficiency gains in open-source large language models can offset spending before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1.25-$1.50T 43%
$1.50-$1.75T 40%
$2.25T+ 9%
$1.00-$1.25T 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/30
<$1.00T
3%
$1.00-$1.25T
8%
$1.25-$1.50T
43%
$1.50-$1.75T
40%
$1.75-$2.00T
8%
$2.00-$2.25T
3%
$2.25T+
9%
$1.25-$1.50T 43%
$1.50-$1.75T 40%
$2.25T+ 9%
$1.00-$1.25T 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/30
<$1.00T
$0 Vol.
3%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 Vol.
8%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 Vol.
43%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 Vol.
40%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 Vol.
8%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 Vol.
3%
$2.25T+
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current ~$1.50T market cap reflects trader focus on its aggressive 2026 AI capex guidance of $125–145 billion, which funds data centers, custom silicon, and models like Muse Spark from Meta Superintelligence Labs. Recent quarters delivered strong ad revenue growth and daily active user expansion above 3.5 billion, yet shares faced pressure after earnings due to concerns over near-term margins and ROI timelines versus closed competitors like OpenAI or Google. With the next earnings report after September, sentiment hinges on any interim AI capability updates, broader tech sector momentum, and regulatory developments. The near-even split between the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T buckets underscores uncertainty over whether efficiency gains in open-source large language models can offset spending before year-end.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current ~$1.50T market cap reflects trader focus on its aggressive 2026 AI capex guidance of $125–145 billion, which funds data centers, custom silicon, and models like Muse Spark from Meta Superintelligence Labs. Recent quarters delivered strong ad revenue growth and daily active user expansion above 3.5 billion, yet shares faced pressure after earnings due to concerns over near-term margins and ROI timelines versus closed competitors like OpenAI or Google. With the next earnings report after September, sentiment hinges on any interim AI capability updates, broader tech sector momentum, and regulatory developments. The near-even split between the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T buckets underscores uncertainty over whether efficiency gains in open-source large language models can offset spending before year-end.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meta’s current ~$1.50T market cap reflects trader focus on its aggressive 2026 AI capex guidance of $125–145 billion, which funds data centers, custom silicon, and models like Muse Spark from Meta Superintelligence Labs. Recent quarters delivered strong ad revenue growth and daily active user expansion above 3.5 billion, yet shares faced pressure after earnings due to concerns over near-term margins and ROI timelines versus closed competitors like OpenAI or Google. With the next earnings report after September, sentiment hinges on any interim AI capability updates, broader tech sector momentum, and regulatory developments. The near-even split between the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T buckets underscores uncertainty over whether efficiency gains in open-source large language models can offset spending before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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