Peggy Flanagan's decisive August 11 Democratic primary victory, capturing 59 percent against Rep. Angie Craig, has reinforced trader consensus around her strong position in Minnesota's open Senate race. As lieutenant governor and the party's progressive standard-bearer, she benefits from the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and the retirement of incumbent Tina Smith. Michele Tafoya's narrower Republican primary win positions her as the general-election challenger, yet Minnesota has not elected a Republican senator since 2002. Race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Likely Democratic. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments before November 3 could narrow the margin, the current pricing reflects the structural and recent electoral advantages favoring the Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$31,632 Vol.
91%
共和党
$15,862 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan's decisive August 11 Democratic primary victory, capturing 59 percent against Rep. Angie Craig, has reinforced trader consensus around her strong position in Minnesota's open Senate race. As lieutenant governor and the party's progressive standard-bearer, she benefits from the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and the retirement of incumbent Tina Smith. Michele Tafoya's narrower Republican primary win positions her as the general-election challenger, yet Minnesota has not elected a Republican senator since 2002. Race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Likely Democratic. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments before November 3 could narrow the margin, the current pricing reflects the structural and recent electoral advantages favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$47,494終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan's decisive August 11 Democratic primary victory, capturing 59 percent against Rep. Angie Craig, has reinforced trader consensus around her strong position in Minnesota's open Senate race. As lieutenant governor and the party's progressive standard-bearer, she benefits from the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and the retirement of incumbent Tina Smith. Michele Tafoya's narrower Republican primary win positions her as the general-election challenger, yet Minnesota has not elected a Republican senator since 2002. Race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Likely Democratic. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments before November 3 could narrow the margin, the current pricing reflects the structural and recent electoral advantages favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$47,494終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan's decisive August 11 Democratic primary victory, capturing 59 percent against Rep. Angie Craig, has reinforced trader consensus around her strong position in Minnesota's open Senate race. As lieutenant governor and the party's progressive standard-bearer, she benefits from the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and the retirement of incumbent Tina Smith. Michele Tafoya's narrower Republican primary win positions her as the general-election challenger, yet Minnesota has not elected a Republican senator since 2002. Race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Likely Democratic. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments before November 3 could narrow the margin, the current pricing reflects the structural and recent electoral advantages favoring the Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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