Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. Since then, he has maintained an extremely low public profile, with no verified appearances or direct statements despite directing wartime strategy according to U.S. intelligence assessments. Iranian officials cite security concerns for his seclusion and have denied unconfirmed reports of travel abroad, while speculation persists over possible injuries, recovery in isolation, or contingency plans involving Russia or Venezuela. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic deadlines, stalled ceasefire talks, and Strait of Hormuz tensions continue to shape trader assessments of whether verifiable departure occurs by the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,150,416 Vol.
2026/06/30
5月31日
1%
6月30日
3%
$1,150,416 Vol.
5月31日
$115,398 Vol.
1%
6月30日
$63,408 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. Since then, he has maintained an extremely low public profile, with no verified appearances or direct statements despite directing wartime strategy according to U.S. intelligence assessments. Iranian officials cite security concerns for his seclusion and have denied unconfirmed reports of travel abroad, while speculation persists over possible injuries, recovery in isolation, or contingency plans involving Russia or Venezuela. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic deadlines, stalled ceasefire talks, and Strait of Hormuz tensions continue to shape trader assessments of whether verifiable departure occurs by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
音量
$1,150,416終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. Since then, he has maintained an extremely low public profile, with no verified appearances or direct statements despite directing wartime strategy according to U.S. intelligence assessments. Iranian officials cite security concerns for his seclusion and have denied unconfirmed reports of travel abroad, while speculation persists over possible injuries, recovery in isolation, or contingency plans involving Russia or Venezuela. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic deadlines, stalled ceasefire talks, and Strait of Hormuz tensions continue to shape trader assessments of whether verifiable departure occurs by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,150,416終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. Since then, he has maintained an extremely low public profile, with no verified appearances or direct statements despite directing wartime strategy according to U.S. intelligence assessments. Iranian officials cite security concerns for his seclusion and have denied unconfirmed reports of travel abroad, while speculation persists over possible injuries, recovery in isolation, or contingency plans involving Russia or Venezuela. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic deadlines, stalled ceasefire talks, and Strait of Hormuz tensions continue to shape trader assessments of whether verifiable departure occurs by the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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