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Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$23,309 Vol.

2027/04/30
Polymarket

$23,309 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$3,570 Vol.

73%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$375 Vol.

44%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$784 Vol.

39%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$95 Vol.

30%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,022 Vol.

18%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Vol.

21%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$348 Vol.

19%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$200 Vol.

13%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$494 Vol.

12%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 Vol.

11%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$55 Vol.

10%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$102 Vol.

10%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$428 Vol.

10%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,059 Vol.

9%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Vol.

14%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 Vol.

8%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$66 Vol.

6%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$136 Vol.

6%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 Vol.

23%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$61 Vol.

5%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$460 Vol.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$892 Vol.

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$1,047 Vol.

4%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,148 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$929 Vol.

3%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$126 Vol.

3%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$988 Vol.

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,849 Vol.

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Vol.

3%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,690 Vol.

2%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$551 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,520 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$973 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$668 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,082 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Vol.

27%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$23,309
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$23,309
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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よくある質問

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」はPolymarket上の36個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jordan Bardella」で73%、次いで「Édouard Philippe」が44%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、73¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に73%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」は$23.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jun 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている36個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jordan Bardella」で73%であり、市場がこの結果に73%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Édouard Philippe」で44%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。