Alibaba’s Qwen team maintains an aggressive release cadence, shipping Qwen3.8-Flash on August 26, 2026—just weeks after Qwen3.8-Max and Qwen3.7-Flash—positioning the new 125B-parameter multimodal MoE (6B active) as a cost-efficiency leader that outperforms its 3.7-Plus predecessor at roughly one-ninth the training cost. The open-weight Qwen3.8-Flash-Next variant previews the hybrid Gated DeltaNet + QSA attention and N-gram embedding architecture slated for Qwen4, delivering strong gains in coding, agentic workflows, and office tasks while supporting up to 1M context tokens. This move intensifies competition with DeepSeek-V4-Flash and Western models on price-performance, with the production API already priced aggressively at roughly $0.16 per million input tokens. Traders are watching for Qwen4 timeline signals and further open releases amid Alibaba’s broader AI investment push.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/10/31
10月31日
52%
12月31日
53%
$0.00 Vol.
10月31日
$0 Vol.
52%
12月31日
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Alibaba’s Qwen team maintains an aggressive release cadence, shipping Qwen3.8-Flash on August 26, 2026—just weeks after Qwen3.8-Max and Qwen3.7-Flash—positioning the new 125B-parameter multimodal MoE (6B active) as a cost-efficiency leader that outperforms its 3.7-Plus predecessor at roughly one-ninth the training cost. The open-weight Qwen3.8-Flash-Next variant previews the hybrid Gated DeltaNet + QSA attention and N-gram embedding architecture slated for Qwen4, delivering strong gains in coding, agentic workflows, and office tasks while supporting up to 1M context tokens. This move intensifies competition with DeepSeek-V4-Flash and Western models on price-performance, with the production API already priced aggressively at roughly $0.16 per million input tokens. Traders are watching for Qwen4 timeline signals and further open releases amid Alibaba’s broader AI investment push.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 7:25 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Alibaba’s Qwen team maintains an aggressive release cadence, shipping Qwen3.8-Flash on August 26, 2026—just weeks after Qwen3.8-Max and Qwen3.7-Flash—positioning the new 125B-parameter multimodal MoE (6B active) as a cost-efficiency leader that outperforms its 3.7-Plus predecessor at roughly one-ninth the training cost. The open-weight Qwen3.8-Flash-Next variant previews the hybrid Gated DeltaNet + QSA attention and N-gram embedding architecture slated for Qwen4, delivering strong gains in coding, agentic workflows, and office tasks while supporting up to 1M context tokens. This move intensifies competition with DeepSeek-V4-Flash and Western models on price-performance, with the production API already priced aggressively at roughly $0.16 per million input tokens. Traders are watching for Qwen4 timeline signals and further open releases amid Alibaba’s broader AI investment push.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$0終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 7:25 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Alibaba’s Qwen team maintains an aggressive release cadence, shipping Qwen3.8-Flash on August 26, 2026—just weeks after Qwen3.8-Max and Qwen3.7-Flash—positioning the new 125B-parameter multimodal MoE (6B active) as a cost-efficiency leader that outperforms its 3.7-Plus predecessor at roughly one-ninth the training cost. The open-weight Qwen3.8-Flash-Next variant previews the hybrid Gated DeltaNet + QSA attention and N-gram embedding architecture slated for Qwen4, delivering strong gains in coding, agentic workflows, and office tasks while supporting up to 1M context tokens. This move intensifies competition with DeepSeek-V4-Flash and Western models on price-performance, with the production API already priced aggressively at roughly $0.16 per million input tokens. Traders are watching for Qwen4 timeline signals and further open releases amid Alibaba’s broader AI investment push.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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